2026 draft board
This year's
sleeper picks.
Top five model-ranked candidates at each position, separated by draft range.
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Data / 2026 season
Find the
sleepers.
Players the market is leaving room for. A short list of names with a credible path to beat their positional ADP.
Scoring format
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01
What is
a sleeper?
A sleeper is a player being drafted later than their plausible fantasy outcome. The value is not simply finding someone talented. It is finding a player whose current price leaves enough room for a meaningful climb.
These picks focus on players outside the first five rounds who could finish at least five spots higher than positional ADP for quarterbacks and tight ends, or at least ten spots higher for running backs and wide receivers. The model-score gate is only used to keep weak candidates out of the displayed picks.
Recent examples
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02
This year's
03
Historical check
Methodology
Each cell shows how often the selected number of top-ranked candidates actually beat positional ADP by five or more spots in a blind test.
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Correct calls
Notable sleepers the model found
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The model is trained only on seasons before each test season. Candidates are ranked internally by the model, while the public page shows names, draft context, and historical results rather than model probabilities.